Expires:No;;905126
FXUS63 KPAH 070704
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
204 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Considerable to catastrophic flooding continues across the
  area due to historically high weekly rainfall amounts of over
  one foot in places, flooding homes and businesses. 

- Below to well below normal temperatures and mostly dry
  conditions for the first half of the new week. This includes
  expected freezing temperatures the coldest night, tonight,
  with a Freeze Watch now upgraded to a Freeze Warning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Finally we're seeing the end to endless rain as drier/colder air
settles in with the arrival of high pressure. The heart of the 
cold comes tonight, when freezing temperatures are forecast at 
some location in every one of our 58 counties. The coldest 
temperatures will be in the mid 20s in our north, with the 
warmest, near 32F, in our south, near the TN/AR borders. This
has been a very consistent and strong daily ensemble signal.

Today's highs near 60 will, having that cold start to the day
Tuesday, struggle to reach into the 50s tomorrow. We start to
warm up a little toward more seasonal numbers Wednesday, and
that's when our next chance of rain/storms is incoming...sticking
around for Wednesday-Thursday...with another dry spell after 
that. Seasonally mild temperatures stick around the rest of the 
week and on into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

The trailing edge of low VFR bases is departing the terminals at
this writing. In the immediate clear-out, where winds diminish,
and with wet grounds, there might be some patchy fog that
develops this morning, potentially offering related 
restrictions. Otherwise, we return a Visual Flight Rules 
forecast as high pressure takes over.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for 
     ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for 
     MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114.
IN...Freeze Warning from midnight CDT /1 AM EDT/ tonight to 9 AM 
     CDT /10 AM EDT/ Tuesday for INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for 
     KYZ001>022.

&&

$$