Expires:No;;873893
FXUS65 KVEF 061753
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1053 AM PDT Sun Apr 6 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather will continue through through the week. 
A ridge will build into the region and result in warmer 
temperatures and lighter winds today. Other than some light west 
to southwest breezes on Monday, winds will remain light through 
the first part of next week. Temperatures will warm through the 
week and remain above normal for the duration of the forecast.

&&

.UPDATE...Temperatures will return to normal today as ridging 
continues to build over the region. A shortwave will move through 
the Pacific Northwest tomorrow resulting in breezy westerly winds 
across the western Mojave Desert and breezy southerly winds 
across the southern Great Basin. Our warming trend will continue 
through the end of the week as the upper-level ridge remains in 
place over the Western US. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Monday.

Upper level ridging will build over the region today which will 
bring dry conditions, light winds, and warmer temperatures. Compared 
to yesterday, it will be noticeably warm as high temperatures will 
run 5-10 higher than yesterday and there will be chilly north 
breezes today.

On Monday, the ridge that tries to establishes itself over the 
region will be knocked down by a system moving through the Pacific 
Northwest. This shortwave will be well north of the area and will 
not directly impact the local area other than some increased 
cloudiness in the southern Great Basin. West to southwest winds will 
increase Monday afternoon in response to an increasing pressure 
gradient as the area of high pressure gets squished. The strongest 
pressure gradient will remain over northern Nevada, thus not 
expecting widespread wind impacts. Enhancement of west winds around 
the Western Mojave Desert is possible which could bump wind and 
impacts in that area, however wind impacts should remain minor in 
most locations as high probability for wind gusts over 40 MPH 
remains isolated. In addition, the westerly jet doesn't push into 
that area until late in the afternoon, so the potential for higher 
gusts will be short lived before efficient mixing ends with the 
setting sun. In general, expect winds gust to 20-30 MPH across the 
region with some higher gusts to 35 MPH in the Sierra, Spring 
Mountains, and the Western Mojave Desert...mainly late Monday 
afternoon. The warm up continues on Monday as temperatures climb 
another 5-10 degrees warmer than today's temperatures. Above normal 
temperatures are expected areawide Monday afternoon. 

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through Saturday 

Heights continue to rise on Tuesday as the upper level disturbance 
moves east and the ridge rebounds. Temperatures venture further into 
above normal territory, peaking Thursday into Friday with highs 10 
to 15 degrees above average for mid-April. This pattern should yield 
widespread Minor (Level 1) HeatRisk with pockets of Moderate (Level 
2) HeatRisk along the Colorado River, Death Valley, and other areas 
of lower elevation in the Mojave Desert. This level of heat 
primarily affects those that are sensitive to heat, have not had 
time to acclimate to increased temperatures, or do not have access 
to sufficient cooling or hydration. Plan ahead for heat, especially 
if planning on spending time outdoors. Forecast confidence decreases 
towards next weekend. Guidance shows a low pressure system moving 
into the west coast at the end of this week, bringing a decrease in 
temperatures and increase in wind. However, there is disagreement 
between ensembles in the trajectory of the low, which will have an 
effect on the magnitude of these changes. Details should become more 
apparent throughout the week - stay tuned.  

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Light
winds following mainly diurnal patterns are expected for a
majority of the forecast period. By 15Z Monday, winds will become
variable before settling out of the southwest early afternoon,
with speeds then expected to increase to around 10-12KT with
intermittent gusts to 18KT expected 22Z-23Z onward. VFR 
conditions prevail, with passing high clouds around 25kft.


For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...For most terminals
across the region, light winds under 8KT following diurnal wind
patterns are expected the next 24 hours, with a few exceptions.
First, KIFP will see northerly winds gusting to around 18KT 
within the first couple of hours of the forecast period before
diminishing. At KDAG, winds will remain westerly, though become 
intermittently gusty this evening onward with gusts to 15-18KT 
expected. And, at KHND, while winds will be diurnal, southerly 
winds overnight will strengthen, with sustained speeds around 
10-12KT with limited gusts. Otherwise, VFR conditions with passing
high clouds will continue.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Stessman
SHORT TERM...Nickerson 
LONG TERM...Meltzer 
AVIATION...Phillipson

For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:
https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter