Expires:No;;889502
FXUS64 KLUB 062339
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
639 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Chilly tonight with areas of frost possible.
 - Warm, dry, and breezy conditions through mid-week with a brief
   cool down expected Thursday and Friday behind a passing front.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 158 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Lingering clouds were being vanquished from N-S this afternoon in 
the wake of an upper trough axis exiting western Texas. Light 
northerly surface flow within a broad surface high will turn 
westerly tonight as the high takes aim on the Lower Rio Grande 
Valley for Monday. Unlike last night's pesky clouds that kept lows 
milder than expected, tonight should prove chillier even with light 
downslope winds. The coldest lows around 20, perhaps even lower, 
should favor the Silverton and Vigo Park area where a diminishing 
snowpack should linger through the night. With such moist soils and 
high RHs expected overnight, areas of frost seem reasonable but have 
opted against frost or freeze headlines as many areas remain short 
of their average last freeze dates. Light winds and clear skies 
carry through Monday with highs making strides well into the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 158 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

The unsettled weather pattern comes to an end today with much 
quieter weather expected for the extended period as longwave ridging 
begins to build across the western CONUS throughout the week. This 
will lead to relatively northwest flow aloft to prevail overhead of 
the FA. Meanwhile surface troughing in the lee of the Rockies will 
influence southwest winds to prevail across the FA through much of 
the week, with breezy southwest winds on Wednesday and Thursday as 
we see the surface low transit east out ahead of an approaching 
FROPA late Wednesday into Thursday. These southerly winds in 
addition to mostly clear skies and increasing thickness values will 
allow temperatures to gradually warm into the mid to upper 80s 
through Wednesday, before a brief cooldown on Thursday and Friday 
with highs in the mid to upper 70s. By the weekend, the axis of the 
longwave trough should be centered over the region, which will 
influence temperatures back into the upper 80s and 90s Saturday and 
Sunday. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....12
AVIATION...02