Expires:No;;904663 FXUS64 KMOB 070655 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 155 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 429 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 Now through Monday...A broken line of showers and thunderstorms continues to make slow progression eastward. Conditions remain favorable along and ahead of this line for isolated severe storms with damaging winds and a tornado or two possible. In addition to the slow movement will lead to heavy rain and the potential of flooding in low lying and flood prone areas. Another shortwave moving through the southwest flow behind the front tonight will bring an additional round a light to moderate rain to portions of the area. However the severe risk will be well east of the area by then. Rains will gradually move east of the area by Monday afternoon with clearing skies late in the day into Monday evening as a drier airmass moves into the area. A coastal flood advisory remains until 10pm tonight along with a high surf advisory through 1pm Monday. A high risk of rip currents also continues through Monday afternoon. Tuesday through Saturday...Upper level northwest flow along with building high pressure at the surface will maintain a dry period through midweek with below normal temps. Another trough moving across the Great lakes will send a cold front southward into the area on Thursday with a slight chance of rain. However, the lack of significant forcing and moisture return will keep most areas dry. After a warm up into the upper 70s to near 80 ahead of the front on Thursday, another shot of cooler and drier air moves in for the end of the week. /13 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 155 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 IFR to LIFR ceilings widespread across the region early this morning, with lingering rain, showers and a few thunderstorms east of the I-65 corridor. Will likely continue to see widespread IFR ceilings through around 15Z this morning, then by around 18z this afternoon ceilings will generally be MVFR. Showers and a few storms will continue to move northeast across most of the region today, but be gradually ending from west to east. By this evening (around 00z Tuesday) VFR conditions are expected. Winds have shifted to the northwest and are expected to remain so, around 10 knots through sunrise this morning and then 10 to 15 knots (with an occasional higher gust) during the day today. DS/12 && .MARINE... Issued at 429 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 A moderate to strong onshore flow continues through this evening. A cold front will move across the marine area tonight with a moderate to occasionally strong offshore flow developing in its wake for early next week, with a lighter offshore flow then expected by mid to late week. Seas will be elevated through at least this evening, then gradually subside through midweek as winds diminish. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 65 44 72 45 73 51 78 57 / 70 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Pensacola 64 49 70 49 71 54 75 61 / 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Destin 71 51 72 51 71 56 74 62 / 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Evergreen 64 42 70 40 73 46 78 52 / 80 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Waynesboro 61 41 70 40 73 48 79 53 / 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Camden 59 41 67 38 70 46 77 52 / 50 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 Crestview 67 43 72 41 74 45 78 53 / 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 AM CDT early this morning for ALZ263-264. High Rip Current Risk until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for ALZ265- 266. High Surf Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for FLZ202- 204-206. High Surf Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for FLZ202-204- 206. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob