FNUS21 KWNS 061633
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1132 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025

Valid 061700Z - 071200Z

Today's fire weather forecast remains largely on-track with only
minor adjustments needed to the Elevated area across the Florida
peninsula based on the latest observations and high-resolution
ensemble forecast guidance. As of 1630 UTC, surface observations
across the Florida peninsula indicate sustained southerly winds of
10-15 mph amidst RH values of 50-60%, with surface temperatures in
the low-to-mid 80s. Strong surface heating over the next few hours
should lead to very warm (near record) temperatures this afternoon,
with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s and corresponding minimum RH
values of 35-45%. Given receptive fuels across the area, Elevated
fire weather conditions appear likely for a few hours this
afternoon/evening before improving quickly by late evening as
temperatures decrease (RH values increase) and surface winds
subside.  

Please see the previous discussion below for more information on
today's fire weather forecast.

..Elliott.. 04/06/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0137 AM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025/

...Synopsis...
A strong mid-level shortwave trough will move eastward across the
southern Plains through the day on Sunday, inducing a surface low
pressure area across the southeast CONUS. The southerly flow ahead
of this surface low will bring a shallow modified air mass onshore
across the southeast US, and strong mixing will lower the RH. In
particular, across parts of the Florida peninsula, RH is expected to
be near 35-40% in the afternoon with some breezy conditions. Given
high KBDI values in the area, as well as fuel ERCs near the 90th
percentile, have maintained an Elevated area on the Florida
peninsula. Farther north across parts of Georgia, fuels are not as
receptive and RH is a bit higher, so have held off on introducing
Elevated highlights there.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$