FNUS28 KWNS 062136
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0434 PM CDT Sun Apr 06 2025

Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

Mid/upper-level ridging is forecast to build across the southwestern
U.S. Day 3/Tuesday through Day 6/Friday, as a low-amplitude
mid-level trough overspreads portions of the northern Rockies into
the High Plains. A potentially stronger/deeper mid-level trough is
forecast to move across the western U.S. beginning Day 6/Friday and
over the Central U.S. through Day 8/Sunday.

...Day 3/Tuesday - Day 5/Thursday: Southern/Central High Plains...
An increase in fire weather conditions is possible midweek across
portions of the southern/central High Plains, as strong flow
associated with the aforementioned mid-level trough impinges on the
area. While warm, dry, and breezy conditions are forecast,
uncertainty regarding fuel receptiveness (owing to recent rainfall)
and a relatively marginal overlap of reduced RH and stronger winds
precludes Critical probabilities at this time. 

...Day 6/Friday - Day 8/Sunday: Southwest into the Great Basin
eastward to the High Plains...
Forecast model guidance continues to exhibit relatively poor
run-to-run and inter-model consistency regarding the evolution of
the aforementioned mid-level trough across the western U.S. Day
6/Friday through at least Day 8/Sunday. While increasing fire
weather conditions are probable, the probability for Critical fire
weather conditions remains less than 40% due to uncertainty
regarding the placement and timing of overlapping critical wind, rh,
and fuels.

..Elliott.. 04/06/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$