FNUS71 KAKQ 090920
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Nassawango-Chesapeake...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
520 AM EDT Wed Apr 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 09. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over the area today slides offshore this evening. 
Winds remain light out of the N-NW this morning, turning to the 
W-SW this afternoon. Minimum RH values drop to around 30 percent 
this afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). 
Chance of pcpn......0 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 54. 
Min humidity........28 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in 
                    the morning, then becoming light early in the 
                    afternoon becoming southwest around 5 mph late 
                    in the afternoon. 
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North 5 to 13 mph shifting to the southwest 6 
                    to 8 mph late in the afternoon. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2875 mph-ft) early in the morning 
                    increasing to good (39905 mph-ft) in the 
                    afternoon. 
LVORI...............2. 
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 55 in the 
                    afternoon. 

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   1   2   3   5   
Weather cov.....                                    
Weather type....                                    
Tstm cov........                                    
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............37  40  44  46  47  49  51  53  51  
RH..............46  40  33  32  31  30  27  28  32  
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   4   4   3   4   5   5   
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   6   6   5   7   8   9   
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.2 4.3 4.9 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.4 
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NW  W   W   SW  SW  
Transp wind spd.13  12  9   7   5   6   6   7   8   
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
ADI.............41  53  55  48  38  32  35  42  47  
Vrate mph-ft/1K.26  36  39  32  26  28  28  34  37  
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming 
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). 
Chance of pcpn......10 percent. 
Min temperature.....Around 36. 
Max humidity........82 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming 
                    light, then becoming southeast around 5 mph 
                    early in the morning. 
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 5 
                    to 6 mph after 3 am. 
Smoke dispersal.....Good (34385 mph-ft) early in the evening 
                    decreasing to poor (1839 mph-ft) late in the 
                    night. 
LVORI...............3. 
ADI.................2 to 42. 

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 
Sky (%).........5   6   3   4   4   4   8   11  16  29  42  54  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  
Temp............49  47  44  43  41  41  40  40  39  39  38  37  
RH..............36  40  49  53  59  65  67  67  73  73  79  82  
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   5   
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   8   8   8   8   6   6   6   6   8   
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.10  10  12  10  8   6   6   5   5   5   5   6   
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   
ADI.............42  5   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   3   4   
Vrate mph-ft/1K.34  10  5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2   
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). 
Chance of pcpn......10 percent. 
Max temperature.....Around 57. 
Min humidity........49 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. 
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 18 mph. 
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5060 mph-ft) early in the morning 
                    increasing to good (59684 mph-ft) in the 
                    afternoon. 
LVORI...............3. 
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 57 in the 
                    afternoon. 

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 
Sky (%).........44  40  39  42  48  55  60  65  69  74  79  83  
Weather cov.....                                                
Weather type....                                                
Tstm cov........                                                
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   
Temp............38  39  39  43  46  49  52  53  54  56  57  56  
RH..............82  82  85  73  65  56  50  50  50  49  49  53  
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   8   9   10  11  11  11  11  11  11  
20 FT wind gust.8   11  11  14  15  18  19  19  19  19  18  18  
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.3 3.0 2.5 
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  
Transp wind spd.9   12  15  17  18  18  18  17  16  17  17  18  
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   
ADI.............6   12  21  42  55  44  45  44  56  57  57  53  
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   9   16  32  43  54  59  59  56  56  53  45  
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  PR  

$$
Forecaster...MONTEFUSCO
Requested by...Gabriel Cahalan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2509421.0/AKQ
.DELDT 04/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gcahalan@tnc.org