FNUS71 KBUF 271102 FWSBUF Spot Forecast for Cronk, S. Stevens, Dunn Pasture Rx...USFS National Weather Service Buffalo NY 702 AM EDT Thu Mar 27 2025 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 27. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... High pressure will build across the area through this morning... before drifting east across eastern New York and New England this afternoon and tonight. This surface high will aid in dropping RH values to under 30 percent this afternoon. Dry weather through the afternoon before a passing weak cold front brings a slight chance for a shower this evening. Elongated low pressure will then extend eastward across our area later Friday through the weekend...bringing more widespread unsettled weather that will feature periods of rain. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (25 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Max temperature.....Around 49. Min humidity........27 percent. Eye level winds.....West winds up to 7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late in the afternoon. 20 foot wind........West winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......Max 6300 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 9 to 17 mph increasing to around 20 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....Max 107 (very good). Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).............0 0 0 0 0 3 5 13 38 50 Weather cov......... Weather type........ Tstm cov............ Chc of pcpn (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Temp................26 28 32 36 39 41 44 45 48 49 RH..................71 63 47 36 34 33 30 31 27 28 20 ft wind dir......W W W W W W W W W W 20 ft wind spd......7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 12 12 20 ft wind gust.....11 11 11 12 12 13 14 14 14 16 Eye lvl wnd dir.....W W W W W W W W W W Eye lvl wnd spd.....4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 Eye lvl wnd gst.....8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 11 12 Mix hgt (kft).......0.8 1.9 2.9 3.8 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.9 6.3 6.0 Transp wind dir.....W W W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.....9 12 14 15 16 16 16 17 20 20 Dispersion idx......6 19 35 49 62 67 73 89 107 102 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (45 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (65 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 31. Max humidity........82 percent. Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 8 mph. 20 foot wind........West winds 8 to 14 mph. Mixing height.......Min 100 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 12 to 18 mph becoming northwest 9 to 10 mph after 3 am. Dispersion index....Min 0 (poor). Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).............51 44 60 64 63 63 74 56 63 66 63 55 Weather cov......... SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type........ RW RW RW RW Tstm cov............ Chc of pcpn (%).....10 10 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 Temp................47 43 42 40 40 40 39 39 38 37 35 34 RH..................31 38 43 48 50 55 62 64 70 72 78 82 20 ft wind dir......W SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW 20 ft wind spd......12 10 10 12 13 14 14 13 12 10 9 8 20 ft wind gust.....14 14 13 14 16 17 16 16 14 13 12 10 Eye lvl wnd dir.....W SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW Eye lvl wnd spd.....6 6 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 6 5 4 Eye lvl wnd gst.....11 10 10 10 12 13 12 12 11 10 9 8 Mix hgt (kft).......4.3 2.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 Transp wind dir.....W SW SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.....17 14 12 14 16 18 17 16 14 13 10 9 Dispersion idx......65 24 2 0 3 10 9 7 5 3 2 2 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65 percent). Chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. Max temperature.....Around 52. Min humidity........49 percent. Eye level winds.....West winds around 4 mph becoming south late in the morning, then becoming southeast up to 5 mph late in the afternoon. 20 foot wind........Northwest winds around 7 mph becoming west around 6 mph in the morning, then becoming south 6 to 8 mph late in the morning becoming southeast 8 to 9 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......Max 2800 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 6 to 8 mph becoming south 12 to 13 mph late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....Max 22 (fair). Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).............46 55 55 56 66 70 74 75 76 78 82 84 Weather cov......... CHC Weather type........ RW Tstm cov............ Chc of pcpn (%).....10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 Temp................34 31 31 34 38 41 43 45 48 48 50 50 RH..................78 88 88 78 64 57 55 53 49 51 52 54 20 ft wind dir......NW NW NW W W SW SW S S S S SE 20 ft wind spd......7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 20 ft wind gust.....10 7 7 7 8 8 10 10 11 12 Eye lvl wnd dir.....W W NW NW W SW SW S S S SE SE Eye lvl wnd spd.....4 4 4 3 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 Eye lvl wnd gst.....7 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 9 Mix hgt (kft).......0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.4 1.8 1.2 Transp wind dir.....NW NW W W W W W SW S S S S Transp wind spd.....8 7 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 12 13 Dispersion idx......1 1 2 4 6 10 16 18 22 22 18 13 $$ Forecaster...Thomas Requested by...Robert Goulding Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2508078.1/BUF .DELDT 03/27/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL robert.a.goulding@usda.gov,eric.hughes@usda.gov