FNUS73 KTOP 051019 FWSTOP SPOT FORECAST for Jefferson EM Controlled Burn...County Emergency Management National Weather Service Topeka KS 519 AM CDT Sat Apr 5 2025 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A few light showers pass over the burn area this morning before the system exits the region into this afternoon. Cloudy and cool today with high temperatures in the 40s. MinRH values expected to range from 30-40%. Northerly winds are expected to be strong this morning into the afternoon with gusts to around 25-30 mph through the afternoon hours with no impactful wind shifts expected. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Temperature.........40 at ignition...Max 47. RH..................89 percent at ignition...Min 38 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Winds north at 16 mph at ignition...otherwise North winds 15 to 17 mph with gusts to around 28 mph. Mixing height.......700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300 ft AGL. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /15500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /98400 knot-ft/. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............40 38 39 40 40 42 42 43 45 46 47 RH..............89 92 82 76 73 62 55 51 47 43 40 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..16 16 17 16 17 17 17 17 16 15 15 20 FT wind gust.27 27 28 27 28 27 27 28 26 25 25 Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.4 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.3 SDspl kt-ft/100016 33 55 62 71 72 78 82 88 95 98 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Temperature.........Min 31. RH..................Max 69 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......North winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph early in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (102100 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (5100 knot-ft) late in the night. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky cover.......PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 Temp............47 41 37 35 RH..............38 48 54 59 20 FT wind dir..N N N N 20 FT wind spd..13 9 7 7 20 FT wind gust.23 16 16 15 Mix hgt (ft)....4300 600 400 400 SDspl kt-ft/1000102 8 6 6 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Temperature.........Max 53. RH..................Min 36 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......North winds 5 to 6 mph becoming light. Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (40100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 0 Temp............32 35 45 50 RH..............63 61 42 37 20 FT wind dir..N N N N 20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.13 11 11 9 Mix hgt (ft)....400 1200 3300 4400 SDspl kt-ft/10004 15 40 34 $$ Forecaster...Drake Requested by...Keith Jeffers Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2508357.0/TOP .DELDT 04/02/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL kjeffers@jfcountyks.com