FQZA81 FAPR 081630
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. EAST OF 20E.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
08TH OF APRIL 2025 AT 16:30 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2
BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE
MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
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FORECAST VALID FROM 082200 TO 092200 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
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1.DURBAN EAST: Cyclonic 35 in the extreme south-eastern parts during
the first half of the period but S to SW 35 in places
in the south-western parts from mid-period.
SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
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High 1028 hPa 38s65e
Low 1010 hPa 35s25e
AREA FORECAST:
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CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : Cyclonic 10 to 20 in the western half, reaching 25 to 30 in
places in the south-west and north-west, spreading to the
central parts towards mid-period, otherwise N to NE 10 to
20.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in
the west and extreme north-eastern parts, spreading to the
central parts towards the end of the period, while clearing
over the extreme north-eastern parts in the morning.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, except in the extreme western parts, reaching
4.5m in the south-west towards the end of the period, with
SW swell in the east, otherwise S to SE.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 30 in the east, reaching 35 in the extreme
south-eastern parts during the first half of the period,
otherwise E to NE 05 to 15, becoming S to SW 15 to 25 in the
early morning in the south-west, reaching 30 to 35 in places
in the south-western parts from mid-period.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in
places in the east and western parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m except in the north-western parts, with E to SE
swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 but NE 10 to 15 in the south-west towards
the end of the period.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and thundershowers in the north-
east until mid-period.
SEA STATE: 2.0 to 2.5m in the south until mid-period, with S to SE swell.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : E to NE 05 to 15 but N to NW 05 to 15 in the southern
parts.
VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and thundershowers in places.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : N to NW 10 to 20 in the east and north, reaching 25 to 30 in
the east otherwise W to SW 10 to 20, reaching 25 to 30 in the
south. It will become anti-cyclonic in the west in the morning
spreading to the south-east from mid-period.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places, becoming poor in
showers and thundershowers in the north-east from mid-period,
spreading to the south-east towards the end of the period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m, reaching 5.0 to 6.0m in the southern parts
during the first half, with SW swell.
AREA 2:
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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
25/04/08 AT 1600UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40%
STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).
PART 1: WARNING
- NIL
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 25/04/08 AT 1200UTC
- DEEPENING LOW OVER SOUTHERN MADAGASCAR, ARRIVAL OVER NORTHWESTERN
WAM AT FIRST.
- HIGH 1031 HPA OVER SOUTHERN AMS, MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD.
- COLD FRONT OVER SOUTHERN CRO AND KER.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 25/04/08 AT 1800UTC TO 25/04/09
AT 1800UTC
WAM (30S/40S, 50E/65E)
SQUALLY WEATHER.
WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 2 TO 4 OVER SOUTHERN INCREASING CLOCKWISE 5 TO 6
BY NORTHWESTERN AREA. GUSTS IN SQUALLS.
SEA : ROUGH, LOCALLY VERY ROUGH. SOUTH-WEST SWELL 2 TO 4 M.
VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.
AMS (30S/40S, 65E/80E)
SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5.
SEA : ROUGH LOCALLY VERY ROUGH OVER FAR SOUTHERN. SOUTH-WESTERLY SWELL
2 TO 4 M.
VIS : GOOD.
CRO (40S/50S, 50E/65E)
RAIN AND SHOWERS.
WIND: WESTERLY 5 TO 6 LOCALLY 7 DECREASING VARIABLE 2 TO 4 LATER.
SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH IN NORTH, VERY ROUGH TO HIGH IN SOUTH.
SOUTH-WEST SWELL 4 TO 6 M FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.
VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.
KER (40S/50S, 65E/80E)
SHOWERS OVER SOUTHERN.
WIND: WESTERLY 3 TO 5 IN NORTH, 5 TO 7 IN SOUTH,DECREASING2 TO 4 BY
WESTERN AREA AT END.
SEA : VERY ROUGH TO HIGH. SW SWELL 4 TO 6 M.
VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATION.=