WTXS22 PGTW 121500 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 135 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.7S 35.2E TO 20.5S 39.6E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 031212Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.9S 35.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 131500Z. // 2525030606 122S 581E 15 2525030612 121S 569E 15 2525030618 121S 557E 15 2525030700 121S 546E 15 2525030706 122S 538E 25 2525030712 125S 527E 25 2525030718 136S 511E 25 2525030800 139S 493E 25 2525030806 141S 477E 25 2525030812 143S 465E 30 2525030818 145S 457E 35 2525030900 148S 445E 45 2525030906 150S 434E 55 2525030906 150S 434E 55 2525030912 152S 422E 65 2525030912 152S 422E 65 2525030912 152S 422E 65 2525030918 150S 413E 80 2525030918 150S 413E 80 2525030918 150S 413E 80 2525031000 151S 406E 75 2525031000 151S 406E 75 2525031000 151S 406E 75 2525031006 152S 399E 65 2525031006 152S 399E 65 2525031006 152S 399E 65 2525031012 149S 390E 55 2525031012 149S 390E 55 2525031018 146S 380E 45 2525031100 146S 373E 35 2525031106 153S 365E 30 2525031112 161S 359E 25 2525031118 168S 354E 25 // END PART 01 //